| Автор | MARVELL, THOMAS, B. |
| Автор | MOODY, CARLISLE, E. |
| Дата выпуска | 1997 |
| dc.description | The major crime-reduction strategy in this country is to imprison more and more criminals. Past studies of its effectiveness in reducing homicide have produced wildly divergent results. The authors analyze the homicide-prison relationship with a time series over 1930-1994, finding that a 10% increase in prison population is associated with roughly 13% fewer homicides. The authors also studied assault and robbery, two crime types linked to homicide, and again found negative associations with prison population. |
| Издатель | SAGE Periodicals Press |
| Название | The Impact of Prison Growth on Homicide |
| Тип | Journal Article |
| DOI | 10.1177/1088767997001003002 |
| Print ISSN | 1088-7679 |
| Журнал | Homicide Studies |
| Том | 1 |
| Первая страница | 205 |
| Последняя страница | 233 |
| Аффилиация | MARVELL, THOMAS, B., Justec Research |
| Аффилиация | MOODY, CARLISLE, E., College of William and Mary |
| Выпуск | 3 |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Belsley, D. A., Kuh, E., & Welsch, R. E. (1980). Regression diagnostics. New York: John Wiley. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Blumstein, A. (1995). Youth violence, guns, and the illicit-drug industry. Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology, 86, 10-36. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Blumstein, A., Cohen, J., & Nagin, D. (1978). Deterrence and incapacitation: Estimating the effects of criminal sanctions on the crime rates. Washington, DC: National Academy Press. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Blumstein, A., Cohen, J., Roth, J. A., & Visher, C. A. (1986). Criminal careers and “career criminals.”Washington, DC: National Academy Press. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Bowker, L. H. (1981). Crime and the use of prisons in the United States: A time-series analysis. Criminology, 27, 206-212. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Box, S. (1987). Regression. crime and punishment. Totowa, NJ: Barnes & Noble. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Brown, J. M., Gilliard, D. K., Snell, T. L., Stephan, J. J., & Wilson, D. J. (1996). Correctional populations in the United States, 1994. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Cahalan, M. W. (1986). Historical corrections statistics in the United States, 1850-1984. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Cantor, D., & Cohen, L. E. (1980). Comparing measures of homicide trends methodological and substantive differences in the Vital Statistics and Uniform Crime Report time series (1933-1975). Social Science Research, 9, 121-145. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Cappell, C. L., & Sykes, G. (1991). Prison commitments, crime, and unemployment: A theoretical and empirical specification for the United States, 1933-1985. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 7, 155-199. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Chaiken, M. R., & Chaiken, J. M. (1985). Who gets caught doing crime?Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Chilton, R. (1987). Twenty years of homicide and robbery in Chicago: The impact of the city's changing racial and age composition. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 3, 195-214. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Chiricos, T. G. (1987). Rates of crime and unemployment: An analysis of aggregate research evidence. Social Problems, 34, 187-212. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Chiricos, T. G., & Bales, W. D. (1991). Unemployment and punishment: An empirical assessment. Criminology, 29, 701-724. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Chiricos, T. G., & Delone, M. A. (1992). Labor surplus and punishment: A review and assessment of theory and evidence. Social Problems, 39, 421-446. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Cohen, L. E., & Land, K. C. (1987). Age structure and crime: Symmetry versus asymmetry and the projection of crime rates through the 1990s. American Sociological Review, 52, 170-183. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Cook, P.J. (1987). Robbery violence. Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology, 78, 357-376. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Cook, P. J., & Zarkin, G. A. (1985). Crime and the business cycle. Journal of Legal Studies, 14, 115-129. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Devine, J.A., Sheley, J. F., & Smith, M. D. (1988). Macroeconomic and social-control policy influences on crime rate changes, 1948-1985. American Sociological Review, 53, 407-420. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Doornik, J. A., & Hendry, D. F. (1994). PcGive 8.0: An interactive econometric modeling system. London: International Thompson. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Eckberg, D. L. (1995). Estimates of early twentieth-century U.S. homicide rates: an econometric forecasting approach. Demography, 32, 1-16. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Enders, W. (1995). Applied econometric time series. New York: John Wiley. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Fagan, J., & Browne, A. (1993). Violence between spouses and intimates: Physical aggression between women and men in intimate relationships. In A. J. Reiss & J. A. Roth (Eds.), Understanding and preventing violence. Vol. 3. Social influences (pp. 115-293). Washington, DC: National Academy Press. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Federal Bureau of Investigation. (1964). Crime in the United States: Uniform Crime Reports. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Federal Bureau of Investigation. (1993). Age-specific arrest rates and race-specific arrest rates for selected offenses, 1965-1992. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Federal Bureau of Investigation. (1996). Crime in the United States: Uniform Crime Reports. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Fisher, F. M., & Nagin, D. (1988). On the feasibility of identifying the crime function in a simultaneous model of crime rates and sanction levels. In A. Blumstein, J. Cohen, & D. Nagin (Eds.), Deterrence and incapacitation: Estimating the effects of criminal sanctions and crime levels (pp. 361-399). Washington, DC: National Academy Press. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Glaeser, E. L., Sacerdote, B., & Scheinkman, J. A. (1996). Crime and social interaction. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 111, 507-548. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Granger, C.W.J. (1988). Some recent developments in a concept of causality. Journal of Econometrics, 39, 199-211. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Greene, W. H. (1993). Econometric analysis (2nd ed.). New York: Macmillan. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Greenwood, P., Rydell, C. P., Abrahamse, A. F., Caulkins, J. P., Chiesa, J., Model, K. E., & Klein, S. P. (1996). Estimated benefits and costs of California's new mandatory-sentencing law. In D. Shichor & D. K. Sechrest (Eds.), Three strikes and you're out: Vengeance as public policy (pp. 53-89). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Hale, C. (1989). Unemployment, imprisonment, and the stability of punishment hypothesis: Some results using cointegration and error correction models. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 5, 169-186. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Harries, K. D. (1990). Serious violence: Patterns of homicide and assault in America. Springfield, IL: Charles C. Thomas. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Heckman, J., & Hotz, V. J. (1989). Choosing among alternative nonexperimental methods for estimating the impact of social programs: The case of manpower training. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 84, 862-880. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Holinger, P. C. (1987). Violent deaths in the United States. New York: Guilford. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Hseih, C. C., & Pugh, M. D. (1993). Poverty, income inequality, and violent crime: A meta-analysis of recent aggregate data studies. Criminal Justice Review, 18, 182-202. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | LaFree, F., & Drass, K. A. (1996). The effect of changes in interracial income inequality and educational attainment on changes in arrest rates for African-Americans and Whites, 1957 to 1990. American Sociological Review, 61, 614-634. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Land, K. C., McCall, P. L., & Cohen, L. E. (1990). Structural covariates of homicide rates: Are there any invariances across time and social space?American Journal of Sociology, 95, 922-963. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Langan, P. A. (1991a). America's soaring prison population. Science, 251, 1568-1573. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Langan, P. A. (1991b). Race of prisoners admitted to state and federal institutions 1926-86. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Langan, P. A., Fundis, J. V., Greenfeld, L. A., & Schneider, V. W. (1988). Historical statistics on prisoners in state and federal institutions: Year end 1925-86. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Levitt, S. D. (1996). The effect of prison population size on crime rates: Evidence from prison overcrowding litigation. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 111, 319-351. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Lindgren, S. A. (1992). Justice expenditure and employment, 1990. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Marvell, T. B. (1994, December). Is further prison expansion worth the cost?Federal Probation, 58, 59-62. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Marvell, T. B., & Moody, C. E. (1991). Age structure and crime rates: The conflicting evidence. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 7, 237-273. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Marvell, T. B., & Moody, C. E. (1994). Prison population and crime reduction. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 10, 109-139. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Marvell, T. B., & Moody, C. E. (1996). Specification problems, police levels, and crime rates. Criminology, 34, 609-646. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Marvell, T. B., & Moody, C. E. (1997). Age-structure trends and prison populations. Journal of Criminal Justice, 25, 115-124. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | National Center for Health Statistics. (1996). Vital statistics of the United States 1992. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | O'Brien, R. M. (1985). Crime and victimization data. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Office of Management and Budget. (1974). Social indicators, 1973. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Parker, R. N., & Horwitz, A. V. (1986). Unemployment, crime, and imprisonment: A panel approach. Criminology, 24, 751-774. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Perkins, C. A. (1994). National corrections reporting program 1992. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Piehl, A. M., & DiIulio, J. J. (1995, Winter). “Does prison pay?” revisited. The Brooking Review, 13, 21-25. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Reiss, A. J., & Roth, J. A. (1993). Understanding and preventing violence: Vol. 3. Social influences. Washington, DC: National Academy Press. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Riedel, M. (1990). Nationwide homicide data sets: An evaluation of the Uniform Crime Reports and the National Center for Health Statistics data. In D. L. MacKenzie, P. J. Baunach, & R. R. Roberg (Eds.), Measuring crime: Large-scale, long-range efforts (pp. 175-208). Albany: State University of New York Press. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Sabol, W. J. (1989). The dynamics of unemployment and imprisonment in England and Wales, 1946-1985. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 5, 147-168. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Sampson, R. J., & Laub, J. H. (1996). Socioecometric achievement in the life course of disadvantaged men: Military service as a turning point, circa 1940-1965. American Sociological Review, 61, 347-367. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | SAS Institute. (1993). SAS/ETS user's guide, version 6 (2nd ed.). Cary, NC: Author. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Smith, M. D., & Feiler, S. M. (1995). Absolute and relative involvement in homicide offending: Contemporary youth and the baby boom cohorts. Violence and Victims, 10, 327-333. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Snell, T. L. (1993). Correctional populations in the United States, 1991. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Spelman, W. (1994). Criminal incapacitation. New York: Plenum. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | U.S. Bureau of the Census. (1975). Historical statistics of the United States, colonial times to 1970. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | U.S. Bureau of the Census. (various years). Current population reports, P-25 series. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. (1995). State annual summary tables, 1929-1994, U.S. and all regions [computer disk]. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Commerce. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Zedlewski, E. (1987). Making confinement decisions. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Zimring, F. E., & Hawkins, G. (1991). The scale of imprisonment. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Zimring, F. E., & Hawkins, G. (1995). Incapacitation: Penal confinement and the restraint of crime. New York: Oxford University Press. |
