Автор |
Hilden, Jørgen |
Автор |
Glasziou, Paul, P. |
Автор |
Habbema, J. Dik F. |
Дата выпуска |
1992 |
dc.description |
Among those decisions that may be made by a patient in response to an illness, the authors single out a certain class. contingent investment decisions. They are characterized by the patient's committing him- or herself, on the basis of prognostic counseling, to a certain action or non-action that he or she may regret in retrospect Examples show that, when assessing utilities, the decision analyst runs a risk of handling such investment decisions incorrectly, unless they are made explicit and incorporated into the medical decision process. The anomaly is explained as a violation of the structural rules for decision trees and is also interpreted in terms of "the price of prognostic ignorance," a quantity closely related to the expected utility value of perfect information. Key words: decision theory; physician-patient relations, patient compliance; prognosis; risk-taking, quality of life; utility theory; patients' decisions, decision trees. (Med Decis Making 1992;12:39-43) |
Издатель |
Sage Publications |
Название |
A Pitfall in Utility Assessment — Patients' Undisclosed Investment Decisions |
Тип |
Journal Article |
DOI |
10.1177/0272989X9201200107 |
Print ISSN |
0272-989X |
Журнал |
Medical Decision Making |
Том |
12 |
Первая страница |
39 |
Последняя страница |
43 |
Выпуск |
1 |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Raiffa H.Decision analysisReading, MAAddison-Wesley , 1968 |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Weinstein MC, Fmeberg HV, Elstem AS, et al Clinical decision analysisPhiladelphiaW B Saunders, 1980 |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Habbema Jdf, Hilden J.The measurement of performance in probabilistic diagnosis IV Utility considerations in therapeutics and prognosticsMeth Inform Med1981,2080-96 |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Llewellyn-Thomas HA, Sutherland HJ, Hogg SA, et al Linear analogue self-assessment of voice quality in laryngeal cancerJ Chron Dis1984,37917-24 |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Christensen-Szalanski J., Northcraft G.Patient compliance behavior the effects of time on patients' values of treatment regimensSoc Sci Med1985,21263-73 |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Hilden J.Some problems in the assessment of survival curve utilitiesPresented at the European Symposium on Medical Statistics, Rome, 1980 Published (as a contribution to the discussion of the paper by Spiegelhalter DJ, Smith Afm) in Bithell J, Coppi R, eds Perspectives in medical statistics London, Academic Press, 1981, 103-31 |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Hilden J., Habbema JDF Prognosis in medicine an analysis of its meaning and rolesTheor Med1987,8349-65 |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Berwick DM, Weinstein MCWhat do patients value? Willingness to pay for ultrasound in normal pregnancyMed Care1985,23881-93 |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Hilden J.Utility analysisTheor Surg1987;2133-7 |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Weinstein MC , Quinn RJ Psychological considerations in valuing health risk reductions Natural Resources J 1983,23 659-73 |