Автор |
Salazar, Eduardo |
Автор |
Smith, Richard |
Автор |
Weale, Martin |
Автор |
Wright, Stephen |
Дата выпуска |
1997 |
dc.description |
Cyclical indicators have hitherto been used as a means of describing the state of the economy on a month by month basis. However, they have proved unsatisfactory for a number of reasons and are now no longer published. This paper summarises a means of producing monthly estimates of GDP from existing monthly data. The technique can be used to extrapolate as well as to interpolate monthly data and therefore provides an indicator of the current state of the economy. |
Издатель |
Sage Publications |
Название |
A Monthly Indicator of GDP |
Тип |
Journal Article |
DOI |
10.1177/002795019716100106 |
Print ISSN |
0027-9501 |
Журнал |
National Institute Economic Review |
Том |
161 |
Первая страница |
84 |
Последняя страница |
89 |
Выпуск |
1 |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Cunningham, A., R.J. Smith and M.R. Weale (1997), 'Measurement errors and data estimation: the quantification of survey data', to be published in the Proceedings of the Conference to Mark the 50th Anniversary of the Department of Applied Economics, edited by I.G. Begg and S.G.B. Henry. |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Chow, G.C. and A.L. Lin (1971), 'Best linear unbiased interpolation, distribution and extrapolation of time series by related series', Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 53, pp. 372-75. |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Godley, W.A.H. and C. Gillion (1964), 'Measuring national product', National Institute Economic Review, no. 27, pp. 61-67. Hendry, D. and R. Emerson (1996), 'An evaluation of forecasting using leading indicators' , Journal of Forecasting, vol. 15, no. 4, |
Библиографическая ссылка |
pp. 271-92. |
Библиографическая ссылка |
O'Dea, D. (1975), Cyclical Indicators for the Post-war British Economy , Cambridge University Press. |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Salazar, E., R.J. Smith, M.R. Weale and S.H. Wright (1995), 'Monthly national accounts', Report to Central Statistical Office, mimeo, Department of Applied Economics. |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Smith, R.J., M.R. Weale and S.E. Satchell (1995), 'Measurement error with accounting constraints: point and interval estimation for latent data with an application to UK Gross Domestic Product', DAE Working Paper no. 9522, forthcoming, Review of Economic Studies. |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Weale, M.R. (1996), 'An assessment of OECD and UK leading indicators' , National Institute Economic Review, no. 156, pp. 63-71. |
Библиографическая ссылка |
Yeend, C. (1996), 'A monthly indicator of GDP', Economic Trends, no. 509. |