| Автор | Carlson, Robert F. |
| Автор | MacCormick, A. J. A. |
| Автор | Watts, Donald G. |
| Дата выпуска | 1970 |
| dc.description | A simple method for describing random time series is illustrated by application to the annual streamflow data of the St. Lawrence, the Missouri, the Neva, and the Niger rivers. The technique is illustrated for identifying the appropriate form of the general autoregressive‐moving average model by use of the sample autocorrelation function of each series. The values of the parameters of the suggested model of each series are estimated and the results checked to suggest further modification of the model. The best model for each of the four samples showed a reduction in the variance value to 0.49, 0.64, 0.59, and 0.62 of the original variance with the use of one or two parameters. The use of the model for one year ahead forecasting on the Missouri River data is shown. |
| Формат | application.pdf |
| Копирайт | Copyright 1970 by the American Geophysical Union. |
| Название | Application of Linear Random Models to Four Annual Streamflow Series |
| Тип | article |
| DOI | 10.1029/WR006i004p01070 |
| Electronic ISSN | 1944-7973 |
| Print ISSN | 0043-1397 |
| Журнал | Water Resources Research |
| Том | 6 |
| Первая страница | 1070 |
| Последняя страница | 1078 |
| Выпуск | 4 |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Box, G. E. P., G. M.Jenkins, Some recent advances in forecasting and control, Appl. Statist., 172, 91–109, 1968. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Box, G. E. P., G. M.Jenkins, Time Series Analysis, Forecasting, and Control, Holden‐Day, San Francisco, 1970. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Fiering, M. B., Streamflow Synthesis, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1967. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Jenkins, G. M., D. G.Watts, Spectral Analysis and Its Applications, Holden‐Day, San Francisco, 1968. |
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| Библиографическая ссылка | Matalas, N. D., Autocorrelation of rainfall and streamflow minimums, U. S. Geol. Surv. Pro. Pap., 434‐B, 1963a. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Matalas, N. C., Statistics of a runoff‐precipitation relation, U. S. Geol. Surv. Prof. Pap., 434‐D, 1963b. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Matalas, N. C., Some aspects of time series analysis in hydrologic studies, Statistical methods in hydrology, Proc. Hydrol. Symp., 5, 271, McGill University, Montreal, 1966. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Matalas, N. C., Time series analysis, Water Resour. Res., 33, 817–829, 1967. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Yevjevich, V. M., Fluctuations of wet and dry years, 1, Hydrol. Pap., 1, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, 1963. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Yevjevich, V. M., Fluctuations of wet and dry years, 2, Hydrol. Pap., 4, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, 1964. |
