| Автор | Todorovic, P. |
| Автор | Zelenhasic, E. |
| Дата выпуска | 1970 |
| dc.description | A stochastic model, based on the recent developments in the theory of extreme values, is presented to describe and analyze excessive streamflows. The model is a particular stochastic process x<sup>(t)</sup> defined as the maximum term among a random number of random observations in an interval of time [0, t]. Since the number of hydrograph peaks in [0, t] that exceed a certain level x<sub>0</sub> and the magnitudes of these peaks are random variables, the foregoing model seems to conform well to the flood phenomenon. The passage time T(x) of the process x<sup>(t)</sup> relevant to the risk evaluation in the design of hydraulic structures is also considered. The results obtained are applied on the 72‐year record of the Susquehanna River at Wilkes‐Barre, Pennsylvania. Theoretical and observed results agree reasonably well. |
| Формат | application.pdf |
| Копирайт | Copyright 1970 by the American Geophysical Union. |
| Название | A Stochastic Model for Flood Analysis |
| Тип | article |
| DOI | 10.1029/WR006i006p01641 |
| Electronic ISSN | 1944-7973 |
| Print ISSN | 0043-1397 |
| Журнал | Water Resources Research |
| Том | 6 |
| Первая страница | 1641 |
| Последняя страница | 1648 |
| Выпуск | 6 |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Benson, M., Uniform flood‐frequency estimating methods for federal agencies, Water Resour. Res., 45, 891–908, 1968. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Chow, V. T., Handbook of Applied Hydrology, McGraw‐Hill, New York, 1964. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Gumbel, E. J., Statistics oJ Extremes2, Columbia University Press, New York, 1967. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Kirby, W., On the random occurrence of major floods, Water Resour. Res., 54, 778–784, 1969. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Shane, R., W.Lynn, Mathematical model for flood risk evaluation, J. Hydraul Div., Amer. Soc. Civil Eng., 90HY6, 1–20, 1964. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Todorovic, P., On some problems involving random number of random variables, Ann. Math. Statist., 413, 1059–1063, 1970. |
| Библиографическая ссылка | Todorovic, P., V.Yevjevich, Stochastic process of precipitationHydrol. Pap. 35Colorado State University, Fort Collins, ColoradoSeptember, 1969. |
