| Автор | Enders, Walter |
| Автор | Sandler, Todd |
| Автор | Cauley, Jon |
| Дата выпуска | 1990 |
| dc.description | This paper employs intervention or interrupted time series analysis to assess the effectiveness of four specific terrorist‐thwarting policies undertaken between January 5,1973 and April 15,1986. These policies include the following: (1) installation of metal detectors in airports, (2) enhanced security for U.S. embassies and personnel, (3) the legislation of the Reagan “get‐tough” laws on terrorism, and (4) the U.S. retaliatory strike against Libya. The use of intervention analysis allows for a study of the dynamic realization of a policy. Both short‐, medium‐, and long‐run effects can be ascertained. The most successful policy involved metal detectors. Expenditures to secure U.S. embassies had the intended effect, but it also had the unintended effect of putting non‐U.S. diplomats at somewhat greater risk. The Reagen get‐tough laws were ineffective. Unfortunately, the Libyan raid had the unintended effect of increasing U.S. and U.K. attacks temporarily. |
| Формат | application.pdf |
| Издатель | Taylor & Francis Group |
| Копирайт | Copyright Taylor and Francis Group, LLC |
| Тема | Terrorism |
| Тема | anti‐terrorist policies |
| Тема | intervention analysis |
| Тема | time series |
| Название | Assessing the impact of terrorist‐thwarting policies: An intervention time series approach |
| Тип | research-article |
| DOI | 10.1080/10430719008404674 |
| Print ISSN | 1043-0717 |
| Журнал | Defence Economics |
| Том | 2 |
| Первая страница | 1 |
| Последняя страница | 18 |
| Аффилиация | Enders, Walter; Department of Economics, Iowa State University |
| Аффилиация | Sandler, Todd; Department of Economics, Iowa State University |
| Аффилиация | Cauley, Jon; Department of Economics, University of Hawaii‐Hilo |
| Выпуск | 1 |
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