Автор |
Zivot, Eric |
Дата выпуска |
1994 |
dc.description |
In this paper we extend some of Phillips's [4] results to nonlinear unobserved components models and develop a posterior odds ratio test of the unit root hypothesis based on flat and Jeffreys priors. In contrast to the analysis presented by Schotman and van Dijk [9], we utilize a nondegenerate structural representation of the components model that allows us to determine well-behaved Jeffreys priors, posterior densities under flat priors and Jeffreys priors, and posterior odds ratios for the unit root hypothesis without a proper prior for the level parameter. The analysis highlights the importance of the treatment of initial values for inference concerning stationarity and unit roots. |
Формат |
application.pdf |
Издатель |
Cambridge University Press |
Копирайт |
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1994 |
Название |
A Bayesian Analysis Of The Unit Root Hypothesis Within An Unobserved Components Model |
Тип |
research-article |
DOI |
10.1017/S0266466600008665 |
Electronic ISSN |
1469-4360 |
Print ISSN |
0266-4666 |
Журнал |
Econometric Theory |
Том |
10 |
Первая страница |
552 |
Последняя страница |
578 |
Аффилиация |
Zivot Eric; University of Washington |
Выпуск |
3-4 |